双亚
近日,孙亚夫(PRC国台办副主任兼海协会副会长)以及李亚飞(PRC国台办综合研究局局长兼海协会秘书长)作为海峡两岸关系协会会长汪道涵先生的私人代表赴台参加辜振辅先生的追思活动。
何谓私人代表?我不甚明白,因为双亚的官方身份。不过我想他们在台的工作实质无非为“统战”吧,也许这次“统战”的范围可能更大一点。
这些天来的一些蛛丝马迹可以看出,台海关系可能会转向另一个阶段:贾庆林在江八条十周年纪念会上已经释放了足够的善意,这种善意在我看来已是胡温的底线;ROC行政院大陆委员会常务副主委邱太三近期接受了香港《文汇报》(《文汇报》一向是香港左翼报纸的先锋,后台为中共)的专访,明确地谈到民进党政府刻意挑战大陆和国际社会的“禁忌“(指法理台独等形形色色的分离主张),其可能性也很低微;陈水扁在辜振辅官方追思会上公开邀请汪道涵在适当时机访台……
陈水扁的嬗变是众所周知的,双亚这次的台湾“丧旅”也许带着对陈水扁的幻想也说不定。
有一种比较极端的观点认为陈水扁可能会与中共达成某种默契,即陈水扁承认“一中”至少不否定“一中”,而中共默认ROC修宪,而修宪的结果是将总统制改为议会制,以便陈水扁在总统任期届满之后以“总理”的身份继续对台湾的统治。
这种情况也许不是真是的,但是我确信中共与陈必定有某种默契!
双亚之行是否会有成果?耐心等待,时间会揭示答案。
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我早就说过,搞什么政治统一,那绝对不可能。港澳能政治统一那是因为他们原先的后台是欧洲人,台湾呢?是中国人!中国人本性喜欢占山为王,据岛为寇,千百年不变。回想历史上中央王朝的统一,有多少次说是靠谈判来完成的,鲜有,武力才是说话的力量。要想阿扁之流归顺,怕是痴人梦话,因此,我强烈建议武力一统!当然,这些和平的形式还是要的。